Oftel market research report - Towards better telecoms for customers, 1998 progress report

February 1999


Please note that this document refers to diagrams held in separate files


Contents

Why report progress?

Part 1 -Overview of developments in UK telecoms markets

Increasing revenues and volumes

Expanding choice

Price trends

Quality of service

Trends in customer complaints and enquiries

Part 2 - How have different customers fared?

Case study 1 - Low usage, low income
Case study 2 - Home teleworker
Case study 3 - High spend family
Case study 4 - No phone household
Case study 5 - Small business
Case study 6 - Urban and rural primary schools
Case study 7 - Regional medium sized business
Case study 8 - Large conglomerate business
Case study 9 - City of London – financial trading institution

Implications of case studies

Appendix - Sources of data

Glossary


Why report progress?

1. Telecommunications – from basic voice telephony to fax, mobile, Internet, and more advanced telecoms services – increasingly underpin the UK economy and provide key links in society. These communications markets are fast moving, dynamic and converging, increasingly carrying text, images, financial and other data in addition to voice messages.

2. But how successfully are customer demands for the expanding range of services being met? And how does this vary across different types of customers given the increasing numbers of suppliers? Is competition working for all?

3. The report is based on a review by Oftel, the UK telecoms regulator, of published information from industry and other sources and is in two parts. First it gives an overview of developments for customers in terms of choice, prices and quality. Secondly this report gives a snapshot of how a range of different customers – in both residential and business sectors – are doing in getting the ‘best deal’ from telecoms with each type described in terms of:

4. This document is therefore a view from the regulator of progress in the UK market based on available data. It will be one of the elements influencing the planning of Oftel’s work in 1999/2000. Oftel would like to hear from ‘stakeholders’ in the telecoms market whether this picture reflects their own views of how customers have fared and if they differ markedly to Oftel’s in what ways and, what implications this should have for Oftel’s work in 1999/2000 and beyond.

5. The two previous Oftel reports in the Towards better telecoms for customers series were published at the same time as Oftel’s annual management plan publication with the most recent report being published in March 1998. This report, in contrast, is being published with the draft plan, to help inform the final management plan for 1999/2000 to be published subsequently in March 1999.

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Part 1

Overview of developments in UK telecoms markets

Increasing revenues and volumes

6. Revenue from the UK telecoms market (including fixed and mobile networks and telecoms equipment companies) grew by 7.2% between 1996/7 and 1997/8 from £22.2 billion to £23.8 billion. Telecoms revenues account for some 2% of GDP. BT, as the largest UK telecoms company, has a declining share of these revenues – down by around 1% to 64% in the year to March 1998. BT’s share of individual telecoms markets in 1997/8 varies from around 87% of fixed telephone lines to under 40% of revenues from international business calls, and a 22% share in mobile market revenues via its holding in Cellnet.

7. While telecoms company revenues are increasing so is the underlying the volume of activity in fixed, mobile and other markets. Volumes of activity can be gauged in terms of the numbers of telecoms connections and the extent to which these connections are used. Table 1 shows increases in terms of number of lines or subscribers:

Table 1: Changes in telecoms and related market sectors in numbers of lines or subscribers in 1998
Numbers of

Lines or subscribers

% increase over previous year Increase measured over year to:
Fixed 32 m lines 4% March 1998
Mobile 13m subscribers 50% Estimate

December 1998

Internet c. 2.5 m subscribers c. 150% Estimate

December 1998

Pay TV

(satellite and cable)

7 m subscribers 15% Estimate

August 1998

Table 2 below shows volume increases in terms of call minutes for fixed and mobile telecoms only:

Table 2: Changes in volumes of use of telecoms in 1998
Volume of use

 

% increase over previous year Increase measured over year to:
Fixed 155 billion call minutes 12% increase over previous year March 1998
Mobile 10 billion call minutes 40% increase over previous year March 1998

8. More customers are using more networks and services creating an incentive to competitors to provide in these markets. Customers will benefit from competition in the telecoms market as this should lead to better value for money through:

Developments in each of these areas are described below.

Expanding choice

9. Where customers have an effective choice of suppliers they are likely to obtain the benefits of competition. Choice has increased over the past year.

Choice of fixed link telecoms

10. By October 1998, cable companies had laid cable in roads passing nearly 12 million households offering direct-to-the-home telecoms connections. This represents a 15% increase in one year in the number of homes with access to cable telephony: around 50% of households in the UK now have the choice of a cable operator to provide telecoms services.

11. Take up of cable telephone lines by residential customers was 3.4 million at October 1998, a 23% increase over October 1997. Cable companies are due to have passed 60% of households by the end of 2001.

12. Greater choice for residential and business customers has arisen from growth in the range and type of services provided by:

13. The map in Figure 1, shows those areas where households have a choice of two or more telecoms companies who provide direct connections to the home. However, all areas including those where residential customers only have a choice of a direct connection from BT, also have in total a range of some 50 plus indirect access suppliers. These suppliers are offering specific call packages or more wide ranging choices particularly on long distance calls.

Click here to see Figure 1: Choice for residential customers of telecoms companies providing local or indirect access in addition to BT (data provided by telecoms companies to Oftel) as at June 1998

Choice of mobile telecoms

14. Mobile telecoms services are provided by four network players. Between them these networks, had, as at December 1998, some 13 million customers, an increase of 50% over the previous year. All four mobile networks claim UK population coverage of 96% or more. Cellnet also claimed an 85% geographic coverage level in 1998, although the three other operators did not make any widely publicised geographic coverage claims.

15. The two more recently established networks (Orange and One 2 One) had around 30% of total revenues for period January to March 98 which represents a considerable increase in choice from 1994 when the new mobile systems from the ‘PCN’ operators had only just started.

Choice of Internet providers

16. The service provided over telecoms networks with the highest visibility for customers in 1998 is the Internet. Surveys towards the end of 1998 indicated around 2.5m UK residential and business subscribers.

17. The number of people who use the Internet is greater than those who subscribe to it – estimates have been made of around 10 million UK users in 1998, eg through multi-user company and education establishment subscriptions.

18. Choice of internet service providers for customers is wide with several emerging mass market players – as well as many smaller niche players.

Choice of pay TV suppliers

19. There are more choices for customers in terms of broadcast services. As well as the ‘free to air’ channels (BBC1 and 2, ITV, Channel 4 and Channel 5) customers can now receive further TV channels through cable and satellite and terrestrial systems by paying a subscription or, in certain instances, on a ‘pay per view’ basis.

20. By August 1998 there were 6.9m satellite and cable UK households (split 60 : 40 between satellite and cable). The last quarter of 1998 saw the launch of digital broadcasting services (by Sky Digital and On Digital) which are estimated to have gained, in total, a couple of hundred thousand subscribers by end of 1998. These are likely to supersede existing analogue broadcasting services over time. Access to these services will be via ‘set top boxes’ which will also be able to encompass traditional telecoms connections and services.

21. Choice of suppliers in these markets is only just emerging with further launches of digital broadcasting ventures planned for 1999.

Summary of choice

22. In summary the numbers of households and subscribers taking the various telecoms services described above are as shown in Figure 2. Increasingly the different methods of delivering telecoms service will be able to carry a wider range of overlapping services.

Click here to view Figure 2: Main residential customer uses of telecoms services

Price trends

23. Competition, and price controls on dominant operators where competition is not fully effective, have driven prices down in real terms. Between 1984 and 1998 prices for the main fixed link BT services have fallen, in real terms, by about 50%.

24. Prices for mobile services have fallen on average, across customer types, by 17% in real terms since 1997 and by some 70% since 1990.

25. Trend information in Internet services and converging broadcasting services is less readily calculated due to the wide range of tariff types and the rapid changes in the underlying services they relate to.

Quality of service

26. As competition develops, price is not the only basis on which telecoms companies compete. Customers will also get a better deal where telecoms suppliers compete on the basis of the quality of service provided and the range of services available.

27. For fixed link services the main telecoms companies are reporting their quality of service in a comparable way so that customers can take quality factors into account when making purchasing decisions (see www.telco-cpi.org.uk). Those telecoms companies reporting in 1998 across the majority of comparable quality of service measures, as defined and agreed by industry and consumer groups, accounted for 98% of residential and 93% of business market retail revenues.

28. Mobile quality of service information is not currently reported by mobile operators on a comparable basis. In the absence of such data a one-off illustrative limited survey commissioned by Oftel and published on 2 February 1999 showed a wider variation in call success rates between networks on rail routes with results ranging from 73% to 89%. In contrast in the cities surveyed (London, Cardiff, Edinburgh) the variation was smaller, on average over the three cities, the worst performing network had 91% compared to 97% for the best performing network. The mobile operators are being encouraged by Oftel to provide quality of service information on a more comprehensive and regular basis in response to the Oftel ‘snapshot’ survey.

Trends in customer complaints and enquiries

29. Customer complaints and enquiries received by Oftel about telecoms companies and others give an overview of key aspects of market developments. The trend in total numbers of complaints and enquiries is upward in recent years:

Table 3: Numbers of complaints and queries from telecoms customers to Oftel
Year 1994 1996 1998
Nos of complaints and queries (‘000) 30.8 36.1 50.0

30. This increasing trend may reflect customers who are more aware of choice and are more demanding and critical of services they receive.

31. The changing subject matter of complaints is also an indicator of developments in the use of networks. What customers complain about is changing away from concerns over the basic reliability of fixed networks towards services delivered over networks and in relation to new types of networks.

32. The subjects of most complaints to Oftel in 1998 have been:

33. Other consistently high levels of complaints in 1998 were in relation to:

34. Customer concerns about Internet services are beginning to register in greater volume during 1998 reflecting the increase in activity in this sector and confirming the dynamic nature of the telecoms market illustrated in the overview section above.

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Part 2

How have different customers fared?

35. How UK telecoms customers fared in terms of quality, choice and value for money from telecoms services in 1997, was described in a report by Oftel published in March 1998 that looked at what different customer types get from fixed link telecoms services, mobile telecoms, services provided over telecoms networks and converging telecoms/broadcasting services.

36. These case studies of different customer types have been reviewed and updated to reflect developments in 1998 and are set out on the following pages. They comprise the following:

Residential

Business/other

37. Taken together with the market information and survey statistics above, these examples provide Oftel with an assessment of how far its goal of ‘best possible deal for the customer’ is being achieved and show where there is scope for improvement. Equally importantly they give others, outside the regulatory process, a basis on which to assess progress.

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Case study 1

Low spending residential customer household – low income retired couple

Usage of telecoms:

Issues of concern

  • One of the couple has difficulty dialling on a conventionally sized phone due to poor eyesight. There are an estimated 7 million people in UK with some form of disability that gives rise to problems using a phone – represent very large markets for telephone equipment manufacturers and network operators to address.
  • Opportunities for a better deal

     
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    Case study 2

    Medium/high spending residential household, single person – self-employed teleworker

    Usage of telecoms:

    Issues of concern

    Opportunities for a Better Deal

     
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    Case Study 3

    High spend residential household – the executive family

    Usage of telecoms:

  • Household comprises two adults and two teenage children and has two fixed link lines (both from a cable company), cable TV access for sports and film channels, two mobile phones (one work, one private), Internet access (using the cable telephone line to the house).
  • Spends: ,380-,470 +per quarter (comprising ,150 – ,200 on fixed link telecoms, ,90 – ,120 on one of the mobile phones, ,60 to ,70 on Internet on-line service provider and calls and ,80 on sports and movie premium TV programming).
  • Looked at Consumers' Association WHICH? price comparisons in September 1998 (and noted the reference in WHICH to 'across industry' quality of service comparable performance indicators) to help make choice. Benefits from further reduction in cable telephone line rental as takes cable TV as well.
  • Transferred (ported) their telephone number successfully from BT to cable company – some 30,000 numbers are ported each month with the total approaching 600,000 since the start of portability in 1996.
  • Both fixed link lines are ex directory appearing in neither the phone book nor directory enquiry services. All household members use the 192 service and occasionally the phone book, Yellow Pages or Thomson’s to find phone numbers.
  • All household members use the Internet connection both for searching out information and sending e-mails with file attachments and some limited use for making on-line purchases.
  • Issues of concern

  • Problems in comparing current fixed link telecoms prices and various discounts schemes on offer as no independent, comprehensive or easily understandable comparison on a more frequent basis than the WHICH articles.
  • Concern at cost of calls to, as well as from, mobiles seen to be significantly above cost of calls from fixed link phones.
  • Perceived inability to change mobile service provider while retaining telephone number.
  • Finds mobile operator claims of 98% population coverage difficult to match to own experience of using a mobile where perceives calls are blocked or dropped more than 2% of the time.
  • Internet – problems in connecting to the Internet and slowness of downloading graphics/large files is off putting when using a basic modem plus concern at receiving >junk= e-mail and access to inappropriate web content.
  • Interested in the launch of digital TV.
  • Opportunities for a better deal

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    Case Study 4

    Unemployed household living in rented accommodation with no phone

    Usage of telecoms:

    Issues of concern

    Opportunities for a better deal

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    Case study 5

    Light engineering small business

    Usage of telecoms:

    Issues of concern

    Opportunities for a better deal

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    Case study 6

    Small /medium sized organisation – two primary schools – one urban, one rural

    Usage of telecoms:

  • Urban spend: Has a deal with cable company for Internet access – spends ,600 a year with them for an Internet access line. The school was attracted by the fixed price and low cost of the offer – previously it had seen an Internet connection as an open ended financial commitment, difficult to manage given its limited, fixed budgets. The spend now represents a small and fixed proportion (5%) of its annual spend on telecoms and IT. Service is available 8am to 6pm Monday to Friday during term time.
  •           Rural spend: only choice is from BT. Current offer is £544 for PSTN access and £790 for ISDN access for 8 am to 6 pm. They cannot afford either of these             but would welcome lower cost deal with only 3 to 4 hours access per day.

    Issues of concern

    Opportunities for a better deal

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    Case study 7

    Regional medium sized business

    Usage of telecoms:

    Issues of concern

    Opportunities for a better deal

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    Case study 8

    Large conglomerate business

    Usage of telecoms:

    Issues of concern

  • Billing – the telecoms manager admits to only partly understanding the tariffs charged, and what was being billed and could not relate the spend to Large Conglomerate's business plans. A detailed review has revealed substantial overcharges in relation to several of its suppliers and uncertainty in regard to specially tariffed number call minute volumes.
  • Large Conglomerate is finding one stop alternatives to BT on a national basis, eg for leased lines and ATM services are difficult to find – unlike some of its regionally based competitors which are starting to get the benefits of competition (as highlighted in TMA 1997/8 survey results where 46% of communication managers said they would consider using new regional operators as well as or instead of traditional operators).
  • That there may be a lack of adequate bandwidth consistently available in the local loop to enable retail e-commerce to take off as a business proposition.
  • Frustration at lack of information on which to compare mobile networks quality of service – looking for the mobile industry to publish comparable data on mobile customer ability to make and hold a call in different locations – and looking for simple price structures from them.
  • Wants to integrate Internet usage with larger established electronic data interchange (EDI) applications.
  • Marketing manager thinks company website, although attractively designed and getting a reasonable numbers of visitors, is currently underexploited as consumers cannot buy directly from the site
  • High volume of customer complaints at being held in Large Conglomerate’s call queuing systems and not being aware of the charges they incurred as a result.
  • Opportunities for a better deal

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    Case study 9

    City of London – large financial trading institution

    Usage of telecoms:

    Issues of concern

  • Global ambitions, actively seeking benefits of liberalisation of European telecoms markets in terms of lower prices and better services and looking to World Trade Organisation agreements to open up telecoms competition and drive down telecoms prices more widely.
  • Opportunities for a better deal

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    Implications of the case studies

    38. The case studies illustrate the wide range of customer uses, concerns and opportunities with regard to telecommunications services.

    Promoting competition and preventing anti competitive practices

    39. For an increasing number of customer types competition is a reality and they are making use of it to an ever greater extent – although given the dynamic nature of telecoms markets there are new opportunities which customers have yet to take. The implication for Oftel is in promoting competition through a wide range of means and ensuring compliance by suppliers with conditions and statutes preventing anti-competitive practice.

    Promoting consumer interests

    40. For a still substantial number of customers, however, competition has yet to have an impact and where regulatory consumer protection measures have an important role to play preventing social exclusion and preventing the abuse of monopoly power.

    41. Across all customer types the issue of customer awareness of choice, awareness and the exercise of rights to access services, to privacy of personal data and to obtain redress in regard to telecoms services are critical to the effective working of the telecoms market – and to the delivery of telecoms services to the benefit of customers. More informed customers make better purchasers which encourages more effective competition.

    42. Oftel’s action in promoting consumer interests must therefore take a range of forms to take account of the special nature of telecoms.

    43. Oftel is currently preparing its strategy and related projects and programmes for 1999/2000 – which are the subject of a separate management plan consultation document issued at the same time as this document. The draft plan has been drawn up having regard to the experience of consumers set out here. In considering responses to the consultation document, consultees are asked to consider if the view of progress made towards better telecoms for customers in 1998 as set out above reflects their own views and whether the plan sufficiently addresses the concerns of different customer groups.

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    Appendix

    List of Sources

    Oftel Market Information 1997/8

    ITC News Release – Cable sector statistics

    BARB – Satellite/cable statistics

    Fintech – Mobile Communications

    Durlacher Quarterly Internet Reports

    NERA – Advanced Telecoms Services: Availability and Take-up 1998

    Analysys – Cutting the Cost

    BT – Price trend data supplied to Oftel under licence conditions

    CWC – price of schools connections to Internet

    Lorien PE International– Comparable Performance Indicators

    Freshfield Communications Limited – Mobile Quality of Service Study (Feb 1999)

    Office for National Statistics – Family Expenditure Survey

    WHICH? – Price Comparison of Fixed Line Operators – September 1998

    Policy Studies Institute – Barriers to Telephone Ownership

    DfEE – Use of Internet in schools

    OVUM – Benchmarking studies 1998

    TMA survey of members 1998

    BESA – % of secondary schools with networked computers

    Oftel – consumer representation section complaints analysis

    Feedback from Oftel’s Large Business User Panel and Small Business Task Force members

    DIEL Advisory Committee Secretariat – RICA initiative

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    Glossary

    ATM – Asynchronous Transfer Mode – a digital technology allowing transfer of data at different speeds.

    Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – GDP measures total domestic activity. It can be defined as the sum of final uses of goods and services by resident institutional units (actual final consumption and gross capital formation), plus exports and minus imports of goods and services.

    Integrated Services Digital Network (ISDN) – a digital network capable of supporting a range of applications over a single line eg voice, image, text, video and data.

    Indirect access – telecoms company carrying calls for customers using the local network and connection of other telecoms companies but not providing a direct connection to the customers premises.

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    To obtain copies of this report contact Oftel’s Research and Intelligence Unit (tel: 0171 634 8617/fax: 0171 634 8946 or e-mail)

    For enquiries about the report contents please contact at Oftel:

    Geoff Delamere (tel: 0171-634 8745/fax: 0171-634 8893/email)
    Chris Woolford (tel: 0171-634 8973/email)


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