| Oftel Submission to the OFT Review of the Pay TV Market | |||||||
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Section 7: CONCLUSION AND SUMMARY OF POSSIBLE REMEDIES 132. We believe
that there are a number of public interest issues which need to be taken
into account in considering whether further regulatory action is required:
of these we would argue a key consideration is that of local network
competition in telecommunications. 133. The DGFT recently
set out three criteria he intends to use in this and similar cases in
considering whether to make an MMC reference. The Director said that
he would only make an MMC reference where: a. it seems clear
that a business with market power is using that market power in ways
that threaten the competitive process or exploit its customers; b. its market power
seems likely to persist; and c. intervention
under competition legislation would be a proportionate response and
likely to lead to an improvement in the situation. 134. These criteria
seem to us to be highly relevant. We have taken the view that Sky has
market power (ie a dominant position). The analysis set out in this
submission suggests there are good grounds for considering that its
pricing and other practices are tending to hold back the development
of the cable companies and therefore are threatening the prospects for
competition in pay-TV in both the short and long term, this in turn
threatens the competitive process in the telecommunications market. 135. There are
good grounds for believing that without intervention the prospects for
a competitive market will not improve, and Sky will continue to retain
a substantial degree of market power. This has four aspects: a. no one knows
for certain when digital services will be launched in this country or
how quickly the 'migration' of existing analogue satellite and cable
subscribers to digital will take place. It may well be that that transition
will continue into the early years of the next decade. Reliance on an
early or rapid transition might prove unwise; b. the transition
to digital services will open up the greater opportunities for new entrants
- whether this translates into effective competition will depend in
part on perceptions of the robustness of the regulatory framework; c. while cable
companies are gaining a growing share of the UK pay-TV subscriber base,
whether and when they overtake Sky as the majority network will depend
on their success in achieving penetration (as well as on the growth
rate of Sky's DTH business). If the cable companies are constrained
into following Sky's pricing strategy and are unable to devise more
appropriate marketing strategies to achieve higher penetration this
could substantially delay the point at which they achieve parity; d. the cable companies'
growing subscriber base will undoubtedly increase their bargaining power
as customers in the wholesale market for premium and other channels
- this is not however a guarantee of greater competition in that market.
It is possible that the market could take the form of a very few large
customers with a single dominant supplier. The safeguards to ensure
that opportunities for entry by rival channel suppliers are not forestalled
will remain a critical issue. In our view, appropriate
action is essential to maintain the prospect of a competitive market
in the future. 136. The Director's
third criterion was that regulatory action should be proportionate.
In this context DGFT's powers under s.56A of the Act, to accept undertakings
in lieu of reference, seem very relevant. Our suggestions on remedies
which might be embodied in any undertakings are set out at the end of
the relevant sections of the submission and are brought together at
the end of this section. 137. Undertakings along the lines suggested would:
138. We appreciate
these proposals imply a degree of continuing regulatory oversight however
the intention is that they should be effective while minimising the
degree of day-to-day regulatory intrusion - once the framework had been
put in place the regulator could stand back. We would also note that
the existing undertakings and rate card have neither succeeded in enabling
the regulator to disengage or in improving the prospects for future
competition. The proposals could lay the basis for the regulator to
reduce the scope of the undertakings in the medium term (in say 3 to
4 years), but even if this proves not to be the case, a degree of regulatory
intervention now, could in our view avoid the need for drastic action
later. The transition to digital and other developments offer the potential
for greater competition in the future but without action now that potential
may not be realised. SUMMARY OF POSSIBLE
REMEDIES
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