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Mapping the Future of Convergence and Spectrum Management - Supplementary Listing of Events


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Convergence of telecommunications, broadcasting and computing is giving rise to rapid and unpredictable change. In these conditions of uncertainty, a single forecast of the future is unsatisfactory as a basis for strategic planning.

The Radiocommunications Agency therefore commissioned consultants NerveWire to produce a range of possible scenarios for the future of convergence and spectrum management looking ahead to 2010. The objective of the study was to provide an analytical framework for thinking through the implications of convergence and developing sound policies for an unpredictable future.

The report was published on the Agency’s website (www.radio.gov.uk) on 8 June 2000 with a request for comments and observations by 4 August.

The report outlines four scenarios:

and assesses their implications for the future management of the radio spectrum.

Appendix III to the report, which describes the outcome of a two-day workshop held as a key part of the study, lists a series of events, or milestones, leading to each scenario with an analysis of which end-states they promote or hinder.

The Agency has received a request for further details to be published about these events and is making available a series of thumbnail sketches of each event taken from material produced by NerveWire for the workshop from their programme of interviews and research and from their own database. It is reproduced with their permission.

Copies may be obtained in hard copy form free of charge from the Agency’s Library and Information Service at Wyndham House, 189, Marsh Wall, London E14 9SX (telephone our general enquiry point on 0207 211 0211 or e-mail library@ra.gsi.gov.uk).

Radiocommunications Agency

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July 2000
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